These are all angles that can and should be investigated, since precise targeting, luring, and covert disappearing of people arent trivial tasks. What I can speculate on is why any type of perpetrator would have an operational range centered around large bodies of water or rock formations, or national forests and parks for that matter. This would also explain why it happens in only some cities you cant simply improvise it anywhere without having the infrastructure. Something that could be invisible and undetectable without very specific instruments, but nevertheless entirely normal and real. Tristan White, 4 Years, Missing November 22, 2006, Minnesota. Nazis were in fact spectacularly wrong about the Arian race, especially in the sense that the Germans are it (theyre not) or that theyre exceptional (not by any objective metric). If you are some sort of wildman creature, you may want to do something primal, like hunt someone to eat them, kidnap someone as a mate or a kid to raise as part of your tribe, get rid of a witness, or attack someone for fun or because they did something to offend you. This means that in order for this profile point to mean something more interesting, the person would have to be found despite the bad weather, in a place they shouldnt have been, and either alive when they should have died of exposure, or dead with no clear cause of death when they should have still been alive. Not to sound too alien-abductiony, but some type of medical examination or procedure would make the most sense. Open for submissions from anyone with something to say about where were headed or the nature of time or history. In the Daves profile, whoever the perpetrators are seem to be perfect, but no one is 100% effective. As the investigations expanded to include National Forests, David Paulides and his team began to find cases of missing hunters that fit their profile points. If there already was a history of people getting lost or being found dead hundreds of years ago, maybe there always were hunting grounds of local predators, maybe there always was a settlement of local wild men, or maybe something about the natural environment itself was always potentially deadly to visitors. The German language also isnt particularly unique, as it exists on a continuum with a number of other European languages that are all similar. Like his idea of a probability-based engine many macroscopic physical laws are only aggregates of chaotic movements and interactions going on at the subatomic level. Which brings me to some espionage-related implications. Again without anyone seeing the body get in. I guess I should look into places in the Czech Republic with our version of this, involving the word ert in the name. I mean, beyond the obvious connection to large bodies of water and boulder and rock formations. While static city cameras could be known about and avoided, there dont seem to be any related deaths of potential witnesses, who statistically speaking must keep bumping randomly into these people entering the water. Yes, I have also watched Good Omens recently. Or I guess you could have built up your whole infrastructure before mankind developed science, or you could be hiding in natural habitats like national forests or parks, so no construction would be needed at all. I await suggestions. It doesnt matter if you interfere from outside of the Matrix, or if youre an emergent galactic civilization that constructs solar systems and sets up and directs evolutions over aeons. With the emphasis on may. Naturally, without any explanation as to how he got there. This case was made famous by David Paulides in his documentary "Missing 411: The Hunted." In this film, Paulides applies his "checkpoints" to Tom Messick. Given that some cases indicate third-party involvement (like the inside-out clothing, children unable to undress themselves, or clean socks while traveling miles), the latter option, however unlikely and disconcerting, must be considered. But even then, dogs can simply fail in some cases, meaning that this profile point alone is never truly a conclusive proof of something unusual going on with the case. Sometimes to children too young to be able to dress or undress themselves. Conversely, a person out to dispose of a corpse in water clearly would take that care. Even if the perpetrators arent exactly advanced, protected primeval forests are the most logical place where to look for any surviving intelligent forest-dwelling creatures. Its basically just as magic as teleportation. What makes it so tough is that I dont think you can determine when it was a failure, and when there was nothing to be found. PG-13. This is why it seems very suspicious to me that in Missing 411 cases, the majority of people who are found alive have amnesia and only a minority reports something strange happening. My theory regarding coincidences is that if you have a sufficiently complete knowledge, you can use it to communicate with people or steer them using coincidences (by manipulating irrelevant details of situations around them so that only they will notice that something noteworthy is going on). The question is, why would a sophisticated perpetrator remove (and sometimes return) clothing, and not understand how it works? And dont even get me started on synchronicity and how you absolutely would want to use systemic coincidences in order to manage a simulated (or similarly controlled) world. Maybe if in all of the cases, the phone lost charge too quickly, it would be less strange, but thats only the case sometimes. As a person from the Czech Republic, where picking mushrooms is a national pastime more so than in most other countries, this is puzzling to me. I especially recommend the most recent documentary, Missing 411: The Hunted, as I have never seen such great visualization of movement through an area, plus the cases selected for this documentary are some of the most bizarre and inexplicable there are. I will discuss this in more detail when I get to related profile points like the role of bad weather. In this analysis, I will not be going in depth on any of the individual cases, since that is covered quite well by many different videos on this subject that you can find on YouTube, including many hours of interviews with David Paulides on various paranormal podcasts. Granted, Elisa Lam is a rare name, so its a case of a rare name of a test that is the same as a human name, which was the same as a rare name of a person who died unusually, while the test was being used at the time and place where they died. These could have involved a more invasive examination or procedure focused on the brain, and while they fortunately seem rare, especially to the extreme of cow mutilations, there are such cases. If theres an intelligent perpetrator behind any Missing 411 disappearances, they are likely to know when to lie in wait for people at the times and dates when theres the most opportunity. The reason why Im mentioning it is that he had his shirt missing and various articles of his clothing were improperly fastened, almost as if he was undressed and then dressed back in a hurry. Exceptionally odd circumstances surround the disappearance. The. The unusual death following a plot of a movie, an unusual plot, moves this coincidence to about a bit odd to the sixth power. The exotic options would all be variations on the person entering some sort of portal or spacetime warp or legitimately teleporting. Interestingly, and horrifyingly, the screams and howls recorded in the case of Henry McCabe, who was found dead without any apparent cause, do resemble the noises made by people who are tazed. Think of it as a cosmic-level tool to bring attention of specific types of people or individuals to specific things, while hiding the act itself. In any event, I believe that Dave is correctly focusing on the cases where the most inexplicable travel speeds or distances took place. If it keeps happening again and again, what youve got is a systemic anomaly, an anomaly on which you will keep getting more data, an anomaly that you can try to predict. Here are the most significant repeating profile points with my critical commentary as to their potential strengths and shortcomings: According to Paulides, every person should be found, especially if they are a small child or if theyre mentally or physically disabled and therefore presumably unable to travel long distances. Like mentions of reports of bigfoot on one of the U.S. coasts attacking dogs (in one episode of the On the Trail of Bigfoot series), or a description of an area where there were almost exclusively bigfoot reports on one side of a road going through a forest, and almost exclusively dogman reports on the other (on The Venomous Fringe podcast). That would be bad enough if done systematically by some sort of human agency, but the inside-out clothing indicates that it really might not involve humans, or at least not exactly us, modern-day humans (insert your favorite sci-fi modifier here). Furthermore, introducing it in the first place or doing things like turning it inside out could screw with pattern recognition AI that was designed to target us looking a particular way. At the same time, however, getting as many people to know and think about this is key, as it directly defeats the main objectives of the hypothetical adversary (remaining hidden and keeping potential targets unaware). Missing 411-Western U.S.- 2011. This profile point doesnt sound necessarily unusual to me, since in any scenario, it has to be much more likely that a missing persons case will remain unexplained when the person disappeared while being alone and out of sight, while any intelligent perpetrator would wait for that moment. All 185 cases fit a narrowly defined profile that was refined after researching thousands of missing person reports; these cases are the most difficult, defy common sense, challenge conventional wisdom and remain . Of course, proving that the times and dates at which people get lost mysteriously are normal times at which theres an opportunity to get lost doesnt prove that the disappearances are entirely mundane. How can we prove otherwise? Objects can spontaneously teleport, its just very, very, very unlikely. If there is someone out there with some kind of tech doing this, the tech clearly should involve remote brain or full-body scan capability (to ascertain hidden health issues or intelligence), perception altering, and memory editing. The latter possibility would imply that even if there werent significantly many of them within the sample in comparison to all people or all park visitors, there may be a specific, several centuries-old genetic reason or personal grudge involved. The religion and military connection may also be connected to a specific cultural grudge, but what they imply to me is that maybe any targeting would be more of an issue of neurology rather than genetics. What an apt name, by the way, SADS. There are multiple instances of Starfleet observing pre-warp civilizations (which it is not allowed to interfere with due to the Prime Directive) from a secret base cloaked as part of a mountain. While you could come across a person randomly in the forest, it is much harder to be able to single people out, avoid being killed by our weapons (or leaving the dead to be found by us), and cover ones tracks. 1 hr 37 mins. Disorientation happened to my son and I four years ago in Germany's Teutoburg Forest. Maybe there are more younger and older people visiting the parks in general, maybe its more of a white or specifically German cultural thing in general, maybe people with disabilities, geniuses, or athletes should be over-represented. [1] [2] Early life and career Right off the bat, it is important to distinguish coincidence from correlation. Its important to understand that when youre working against an intelligent adversary, they will try to use your statistical reasoning against you, not doing anything too frequently, so that you brush it all off as a mere coincidence, normal chance. And yes, I also rewatched Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency, obviously. People make errors. The people who were disappeared while on the phone would only be different in the sense that they must have been targeted after they were already outside. If that could be scaled up or turned into a realiable technology, then who knows, maybe it could be possible to cause coincidences, or they could be a side effect of some type of probability-based technology being used. At the same time, if we ignore abject cruelty, when some major injuries were identified as the cause of death, those might have been done to cover up an invasive medical procedure. There is at least one case in which the dog was proven to have been almost certainly fed (venison), which might indicate some perpetrator may have been more respectful of the life of the dog than that of the human target, as well as there are cases of dogs likely not having spent time in the area where they got lost, like the one dehydrated dog found in a swampland, or a number of cases of dogs being found in a surprisingly good condition. With all that said, it would be interesting to take all of the people with the German origin within the Missing 411 sample and check whether their ancestors come from all over Germany, or if they all come from a specific region or regions inside of Germany (or Austria or Switzerland). For the profile point, it means that more weight should be given to cases where the disappearance after separation was abrupt, but also that the feeling unwell or the wildly running into a forest-type separations should be looked at separately. The other type of accounts shared by children indicates the existence of facilities. Similarly, as I have heard someone theorize, you may want to remove their shoes first so that they cant run away from you very easily, or maybe youd steal their clothing so that they more quickly succumb to the elements if they somehow ran away from wherever youre holding them thats presumably some kind of shelter, base, or vehicle. Even if the name was selected purely on the basis of bad feelings, it may indicate that dangerous terrain, gases, radiation, or infrasound can be found in the area. The question is why would there be high-tech kidnappers, possibly using also advanced camouflage or noise cancellation technology, snatching random people sneakily in the forests. A) the terrain is incredibly difficult to search 100% due to rocks, deadfall etc. When all you understand couldnt have happened, it points to none of that. At the risk or irritating the given god. Missing 411: The Hunted. Scott Schumacher Without giving much away, the first messages that you put on the screen I believe are the thread you meant to weave into this movie..so that it could "shake the tree" so to speak. Hes not putting forward his theories in the books, only data. And maybe nothing is. Not only that, the details of her death, especially how she was found dead in a water tank on the roof of a hotel, mirrored the plot of a Japanese horror movie called Dark Water from 2002, remade in 2005 (Elisa died in 2013). If you have any theories or suggestions yourselves, Im all ears. Some of these factors are inherently unusual, requiring at the very least a sudden psychotic break or a chain of bad decisions, while others are unusual through the rate at which they correlate with these cases, and yet others seem utterly impossible all by themselves. If I sum it all up: This about covers what I would like to say about this subject at this moment in time. Thats definitely the weirdest scenario. This is another strong profile point, given that the most likely explanations are the body being dropped there to be found, or perhaps a temporal displacement. While the logical statistical bias of unexplained cases of missing people should be to involve more cases of no obvious cause of death than what you should expect on average for all deaths (since otherwise the cases would likely be explained), the apparent failure rate of medical examiners in the Missing 411 cases still seems wildly excessive to me. Usually, the tragic stories are about mushroom poisoning. This leaves a sudden medical emergency, or an animal or human attack, that either quickly render you unconscious, or force you to be quiet. Missing 411: The U.F.O. Paulides has written a series of books under the title, "Missing 411." the books detail hundreds of these cases and locations. My critical point of view is that this is a nice sentiment, and youd want to have searchers with this attitude looking for you, but there is a number of conceivable conventional scenarios in which it would be very possible that the person would be exceedingly difficult to find or unlikely to be found. Taken all together, as I will try to explain shortly, no single normal or paranormal hypothesis explains all of the cases, meaning that either multiple are at play, or a one so crazy that no one, including Dave, has even been able to conceive of it yet. Much like it is with Daves trust in the ability of searchers to conduct proper searches, Dave also doesnt question the ability of canines to find scent. When picking mushrooms or berries, a group of people typically stays within hearing range, which means that all you need to do to not get lost is being able to shout (or shoot, I guess). Which leaves being jumped by someone or something as the most likely explanation. Missing 411- North America and Beyond, 2013. There are so many comparisons that need to be made, and for that you need numbers. Daves criteria for the sample selection seem completely reasonable to me a case being unexplained is an objective fact. It also makes sense that in such a scenario, the dog should be more able to find a way back eventually, as opposed to its owner. This is a fairly strong profile point, given that there is no good explanation, conventional or otherwise, for why or how any of this should happen at all. Former police detective David Paulides was initially brought on to investigate the circumstances around the many mysterious disappearances - here he presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing . Then it begins to be odd. If anyone whos unable to travel many miles is found many miles away, especially if it is in a very short amount of time, its extremely suspicious. Yes, under these specific circumstances, things like temporal displacement start sounding more likely than dozens of searchers missing an obvious corpse dozens of times. I know I said I wont to go into detail on individual cases, but it would be difficult to comment on the coincidences that Paulides points out without pointing them out. Moreover, again ironically, there are many other both genetically and culturally much older groups. If there is evidence that something weird was going on with the dog, thats the part that should be focused on, in my opinion presence of inexplicable evidence is always more interesting than a correlation alone. Anything that makes you more visible from a longer distance by default makes you an easier target for any kind of predator, animal, human, or otherwise. At least not in any of the cases where the person was found. After all, thats how a sudden health crisis or mental break would start. The only thing you need to make sure of is that the sample of your observations is representative. While the possibility of pure fear killing a person is medically speaking speculative at best, extreme fear can certainly cause a lethal heart attack in a person with a heart that is in a less than stellar condition. 4.43. The AI then has to adapt, and will probably never be able to do so perfectly and permanently. David Paulides presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable in the woods of North America. Which brings me to some practical reasons why you would undress a person that you have kidnapped. Furthermore, if I understand the abstract of the U.S. study correctly, 5% of autopsy reports in the U.S. list the cause of death as undetermined, even though the real number of undeterminable deaths is much lower than that. This is why one should look into the work of people like Steph Young or various other paranormal investigators. As for any data points or theories that may shed some light on why the clothing tends to be missing, the only explanations provided by the survivors of something like a Missing 411 incident are either that they removed it themselves (without understanding why and later regretting it), or the story of one little girl that a dog/wolf man ate some articles of her clothing. For example, the cases in which the missing died of major head trauma, of what was described as a possible propeller strike, even through a helmet or when there was no height to fall from hard enough. Given that brain damage is almost never involved even in the cases where the Missing 411 subjects were found dead, theres no good explanation for high incidence of amnesia. This one is of course extremely tragic, but that only gives you literally all of the reasons why everyone should study this. Not wholly impossible, but an extreme leap nonetheless. The person could have intentionally vanished. Missing 411 is a series of books and films, which document cases of people who have gone missing in national parks and elsewhere, and assert that these cases are unusual and mysterious, contrary to data analysis which suggests that they are not actually statistically mysterious or even unexpected. A high-level analysis of patterns behind these strange disappearances. This should definitely include basic data like demographics of the missing and the dates and times of disappearances, in addition to locations, which were already visualized as the cluster map. Its not at all hard to imagine that in this case, the person got suddenly kidnapped into a flying vehicle and stripped by some sort of non-human entities, was aware of it (which perhaps wasnt supposed to happen) and panicked, burned himself while trying to escape the vehicle or fight the captors, got a heart attack, and died. For example, in a random sample of a thousand normal missing persons cases, how often do people go missing with a dog, in contrast to how often that happens in a sample of a thousand Missing 411 cases? Maybe some of the people who died had an allergic reaction to whatever method of incapacitation or memory wipe was used. Meanwhile, after Dennis went missing, the Key family, looking for bears some distance away, saw a dark man-type figure carrying something on its shoulder, a key piece of the puzzle. And thats just the first step. Maybe names are not random, but to an extent generated with an audience to appreciate them in mind. Then again, at this point, its not much more than entertaining fiction. So, I would expect more people to get lost while wearing colorful clothing rather than natural shades or camo. The only conventional explanation for reliable amnesia is when it is induced by some sort of chemical. Many serious paranormal investigators note the importance of the strange coincidence angle. Its not a reason to start hating a person and dismiss everything they have to say about everything else, its a reason to start talking to them. I certainly intend to investigate this phenomenon further, as well as a range of other things that I may write about in the future. There are also plenty of weird, and weirdly specific, clothing-related instructions in the fairy lore, like that in order to ward them off, you should turn your clothing inside out. Which is of course reasonable in principle, especially with animals, except for the fact that it is unclear how you would do that remotely and without a trace with a human, especially a healthy adult.
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