(Other U.S. allies, namely France and Germany, also opposed the 2003 Iraq War, though France was not fully participating in NATO at the time.) SWP Comments are subject to internal peer review, fact-checking and copy-editing. The expulsion or suspension of a state would be an unprecedented act, and without a specific clause to trigger suspension or expulsion, excluding Turkey becomes difficult. The Swedes themselves told the Turkish officials that they cannot do much until June 1, when the amendments enter into force, the person said. Now move on to these Congressional Research Reports: Below are resources related to the current resolution: Can tensions between Turkey and NATO be contained? This approach includes Russia-originated threats. The shift was so sudden, it left officials at the State Department and the Pentagon scrambling to explain it and contain the fallout. NATO-TURKEY: AN AMBIGUOUS RELATIONSHIP IN AN UNPREDICTABLE SECURITY DOMAIN (November 2021). When it comes to Turkey-NATO ties, Ankara is regarded as more of a problem than an ally these days. Lastly, Turkey would not want to give up the NATO nuclear umbrella, given that some of its neighbors possess (Russia) or are striving for the capability of developing (Iran) nuclear weapons. WebResolved: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (February PF) Evidence and Bibliography - DebateUS Call/text: (617) 682 The Alliance must now decide if appeasing Turkeys aggressive foreign policy could lead to more conflict. The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Peter Pry, opinion contributor - 10/23/19 3:00 PM ET, by Alexander J. Motyl, Opinion Contributor, by Kyle A. Jaros and Sara A. Newland, opinion contributors, Yellen says drop-dead date for debt ceiling is June 1, Hunter Biden appears in court for paternity case, Big birds are having fewer chicks as climate changes, AI chatbot outperforms human doctors in responding to patient questions, Bidens plan to address migrant surge may make it worse, Who will replace Tucker Carlson at Fox News? Government circles point at US reluctance to supply necessary high-tech weapons to Turkey (e.g., US Congress restrictions) and to the strict control over their use and transfer of technology. Turkey has NATO's second-largest standing army and is centrally located in a strategically significant region, which makes it an indispensable ally. Do we really want to kick Turkey out of NATO and have its military power and strategic geography aligned with Russia? This article contends that Turkey is undermining the security of NATO and the West generally. Moscow has significantly increased its military presence in a region that Russian President Vladimir Putin considers the centerpiece of Russias power projection into the Mediterranean. Since its annexation in 2014, the Crimean Peninsula has become a Russian military fortress. Significantly, even Turkeys controversial invasion of Cyprus in 1974 did not trigger a war with Greece, in no small part because both are NATO members. In light of Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, which states that an attack on one member is an attack on all, Turkeys aggressive foreign policy poses a threat to the security of NATO members. Your email address will not be published. Stiftung Wissenschaft undPolitik, 2019. Additionally, the Eastern Mediterranean Security and Energy Partnership Act, a piece of bipartisan legislation, was introduced and advanced in the US Congress. Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations At the outset of NATOs founding, a suspension or expulsion clause was excluded due to the fact that it would cast doubt upon the future of member nations, particularly on whether they would remain democratic or become communist, which could have limited the alliances membership. As Turkey continues to stoke the fires of ongoing tensions, the U.S. must make clear that it will not fight Erdogan's wars under the obligation of NATO defense if these disputes erupt beyond Erdogan's control. Whats more, Turkey has long actively used NATO as a platform to express its concerns and views about key strategic and political issues. Modernizing NATO Requires Dealing With Turkey (2021). Take the S-400 anti-ballistic missile procurement issue: It seems that Turkey will not abandon its plans to buy them from Russia and deploy them. They ignore the reality that Turkey is vital to NATO and far more important to U.S. national security than the Kurds. If the Alliance believes that Erdogan will exploit NATO to achieve his own expansionist goals, then NATO should suspend or expel Turkey to ensure the integrity of the organization. This would be the exact opposite of the intended outcome. Read: The U.S. moves out, and Turkey moves in. Privacy Center A February article in the pro-government Daily Sabah ran through a litany of issues with the alliance: Turkey, wrote the papers politics editor, Seyma Nazli Grbz, is the second-largest military in the alliance, is a key partner in Afghanistan and elsewhere, hosts NATO initiatives around its own territory, and contributed more than $100 million in 2018. Turkish government circles expected that given his business background President Trump would be open to negotiations concerning the following disputes inherited from the Obama administration: the YPGs role in Syria, Fethullah Glens presence inthe United States, and the violation of Iran sanctions by Turkish banker Mehmet Hakan Attila. Although the article does not argue that Turkey should not be part of NATO, it identifies many ways that Turkey is undermining Western security. Leaving the most crucial one NATO would put Turkey in the difficult position of confronting the alliance alone. ANKARA There is a broad acceptance among NATO members that Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan, running on a nationalist campaign, is holding up the Swedish bid for domestic purposes ahead of the election. Senators Lindsey Graham and Chris Van Hollen are pushing bipartisan legislation to sanction Turkey over its Syria incursion; Graham has also floated suspending Turkey from NATO altogether. S-400s could be an important bargaining chip to reach concessions on these three major disagreements, especially considering the strong reactions of the United States to Turkeys previous deal attempt for Chinese missiles. Israel, too, will be better served if Turkey remains in NATO and, thus, a moderating influence on Islamist Erdogan, who eventually may be replaced by a secular leader. In a phone call with the Turkish defense minister yesterday, U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper said the incursion risks serious consequences for Turkey, according to the Pentagons readout. Its military was thoroughly shaped by NATOs culture, standards, and technology. Moreover, Turkeys especially close and long-standing ties with The NATO members moved quickly, allowing Finland to join the alliance on April 4 with Sweden left out in the cold. NATO never hesitated to provide anti-ballistic missile systems NATO never hesitated to provide anti-ballistic missile systems to Turkey in the first and second Iraqi wars in 1991 and 2003, and most recently over the course of Syrian civil war. Turkey is becoming a problem and NATO should pay attention (2021). How did the United States and Turkey end up tied together in NATO, when both their values and interests seem so far apart? This article explains that Turkey is increasing military assistance to the Ukraine while also pressing Russia to use diplomacy to avoid conflict. The U.S. should adjust its behavior accordingly and stop treating its NATO alliances as sacrosanct when Turkey clearly does not view the relationship similarly. Having no access to NATOs supply of crucial weapons, Turkey may be forced to buy more Russian-produced arms. Ankaras developing ties with Russia, its plans to procure Russian S-400 anti-ballistic missile systems, and ongoing tension with the U.S. in Syria have long been cited as major reasons for growing skepticism about whether Turkey is still a loyal ally. Sinan Ulgen, a former Turkish diplomat and a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, noted that if Kilicdaroglu emerges victorious in the runoff on May 28, there wouldnt be much time to complete the ratification process. The U.S. can learn something from this shrewd and unashamed realpolitik. Another confrontation took place between US Vice-President Mike Pence and his Turkish counterpart, Fuat Oktay. This article explains how Turkey undermine the strength of NATOs response to Belarus forced landing of a civilian plane to imprison a diplomat. Finland was a bit of collateral, the issues with Sweden are real. How Swedens NATO membership hangs in the balance in a Turkish election. Turkey is today the fifth most active country in NATO operations and the eighth biggest contributor to the NATO budget. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Domestic concerns related to foreign policy are also voiced by analysts close to the government. The views expressed in this article are the writer's own. RT @ragipsoylu: 1- How Swedens NATO membership hangs in the balance in a Turkish election? Truth is, we cant do much at Incirlik. The reason why all these well-known facts are cited in this column is the fact that a perception is snowballing that Turkey is an isolated member of the alliance. It is of great importance for us to continue by strengthening Turkey-Russia relations every day." A senior State Department official told reporters yesterday that the Turkish attacks on northeastern Syria targeting Kurdish fighters who have been Americas best partners in defeating ISIS in the country would help no onenot even Turkey. That seems a plausible explanation. Lets not say Westernuniversal values, which are democracy, human rights, and core values of human rights based on the rule of law. Turkey was even negotiating for membership in the European Union. The punitive measures that the United States announced in response to Turkeys S400 deal are unprecedented in postCold War bilateral relations. As a reaction to the incarceration of American pastor Andrew Brunson in Turkey, the United States applied individual sanctions to two Turkish cabinet members and doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Turkey. In an interview with NATO Review in 2012 marking 60 years of Turkey being in NATO, thenTurkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz said that in joining the alliance, Turkey had made its direction, and its security, the same as the Wests. He went on: This was not a decision Turkey took only in 1952. Resolved: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. These include Lincoln Douglas, Policy, Public Forum, Parliamentary, and Congressional Debates, as well as speech events like Original Oratory, Interpretation, and Extemporaneous Speaking. In particular, Turkey has violated the principles of the North Atlantic Treatys foreword and Article 2, in which NATO nations agree to promote stability and eliminate conflicts in international economic policies, in its interventionism in Syria, clashes with France and Greece, and its dealings with Russia. Below are resources related to the current resolution: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Turkey did have an ally on its side there. The old HQ, which has served the alliance for the past 50 years, recently hosted NATO foreign ministers for the last time, just days before the entire relocation begins. This article identifies the many ways Turkey is undermining NATOs interests and claims the conflicts between NATO and Turkey cannot be resolved. Turkey is a member of NATO but also maintains economic and military industry ties with Russia. Although the article doesnt conclude that NATO would be better off without Turkey, it does argue that Turkey is currently undermining NATOs interests. They are formed to recognize parallel interests and commit to jointly serving those interests. Turkey has also paid back the alliance as a stalwart member, honoring its obligations by contributing to missions in Kosovo and Afghanistan and hosting NATOs Land Command. Turkish government circles have cast the recent purchase as a means to gain more autonomy from and/or better bargaining power with Western allies. Frances EU-affairs minister, too, has said that NATO suspension is on the table., What about the air base though? In that case, the new government would need to convince the Erdogan-led political alliance to complete the process Ulgen added and how that would shake out is anyones guess. Turkeys Interventionism and Expanse of Influence. This tension between the governments has refueled the debate on Turkey breaking up with NATO. Indeed, analysts and journalists in the United States have been questioning Turkeys ties with the alliance for a long time. Besides, confrontation with the West delivers a rallying effect for President Erdoan and provides an excuse for economic downturn in domestic politics. WebOn balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization - YouTube 0:00 / 39:07 Chapters On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to Turkey, despite having the second-largest standing military force in NATO, is inching toward a point where it becomes a possible liability, instead of an asset. If NATO were to remove Turkey from its ranks, it could solidify the Alliances goals and standards for membership, and possibly dissuade Erdogan from acting with impunity on the world stage. Turkish politicians should avoid further tarnishing the image of the alliance if they want NATO and allied members to highlight Turkeys role in the defense organization. In an interview with NATO Review in 2012 marking 60 years of Turkey being in NATO, thenTurkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz said that in joining the alliance, This article focuses on the general geographic importance of Turkey to NATO but also highlights Turkeys role in containing Russia in the Black Sea and diffusing the conflict in Syria. This article generally discusses the importance of Turkey to NATO but highlights its role in supporting anti-terror cooperation and missile defense surveillance. Some 50 B-61 nuclear bombs are bunkered at Incirlik Air Force Base, controlled by U.S. personnel stationed there. @gmail.com. Turkey participated in Baltic Sea air patrols demonstrating support for the NATO Baltic states (2006). As a result of all these [steps], we hope that in the future there will be a development that will not damage the friendship between Turkey and Sweden he said. Scan this QR code to download the app now. RT @ragipsoylu: 1- How Swedens NATO membership hangs in the balance in a Turkish election? "This is not some minor dustup with this country," he said. This Comment reflects theauthors views. But he thinks the government could still open a path for Sweden. Turkeys combination of military firmness and diplomatic sobriety offers important capabilities for NATO as it struggles to deter further Russian aggression against Ukraine. Involved in the Everyday: How IR Scholarship Must Reflect the Lives of LGBTQ+ Persons, The Vaccine Diplomacy Contest in Latin America, A Cinematic Cold War: The US, China, and Diplomacy at the Box Office, The Spinning of the Ukrainian and Russian Brotherhood, From Regime to Revolution: What Irans Uprising Could Entail for its Economy, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Future of Immigration and Customs Enforcement Under a Biden Administration. A more complicated scenario is a split parliament, where Kilicdaroglu is president but Erdogan retains the majority. Rather, NATO is an important asset for Turkey, even in developing its relations with Russia, as membership eases the threat of domination by Moscow. COPYRIGHT DEBATEUS 2021 | DEVELOPED AND MAINTAINED BY SUDDHA.MARKETING. The only explanation left for the purchase is the possibility that President Tayyip Erdoan may be seeking a domestic rally effect via a confrontation with the United States to prevent possible challengers to his leadership from gaining momentum. As for that whole democratic-values thing, the military stepped in to run the country about every decade or so. Con Turkeys Response to the Russia-Ukraine Crisis. 3- Turkey wanted to show that it rewards progress and it doesnt categorically and ideologically block Nordic countries, one person with knowledge said. However, NATO can only work effectively if it maintains legitimacy and unity in its ideals and goals goals which Turkey has failed to honor. Even after Turkey apologized, contentious and confrontational developments in bilateral relations continued. Sweden played an active role in the earthquake donors conference as the president of the Council of EU, and delivered a substantial aid package to Turkey, he said. In some cases Turkey is even mentioned as a kind of non-NATO country. Defense Department organizations have four years to deploy seven pillars, including 45 core capabilities of zero trust. For more information, please see our Turkey controls the Bosporus Straits, Marmara Sea and Dardanelles Straits between the Black Sea and the Mediterranean, giving it the capability to contain Russias powerful Black Sea Fleet. During his undergraduate studies, he completed a certificate in Emergency Management and Homeland Security with a focus on studies in Terrorism. NATO should strengthen its relationship with Ukraine in order to deter further Russian aggression. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. It is wrong to believe that when Turkey receives the S400s it will simultaneously receive total control over them. It is of great importance for us to continue by strengthening Turkey-Russia relations every day." As NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said recently, We fully anticipate that Sweden will be a member of NATO by the time of the Vilnius Summit in July. But whether Erdogan stays in power, and by how much, may determine the next steps for Swedens bid. Copyright 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. After all, Erdogan in the past said that he wouldnt approve Finlands NATO membership as long as he is alive, yet he did it in a surprising U-turn after the Finns met their promise. This is why there are so many things that both need to do to reemphasize Turkeys place in the NATO. Although the article doesnt take a strong stand against Turkeys NATO membership, it does argue at various points that membership has undermined NATO cohesion, resulted in the veto of protecting the Baltics from Russian aggression, undermined cooperation against ISIS, and resulted in dangerous Russian technology access. Erdogan also asked the Nordic countries to drop their formal and informal arms embargo against Turkey. When Turkey goes to the polls next month, they likely will also be determining Sweden's future with NATO. NATO has stood strong before against a Soviet Union that was stronger and possessed more influence than the threat posed by Russia today. Due to the wording of the NATO Treaty articles, Turkey could be suspended or expelled under the guidelines of material breach within the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties, which NATO members ratified once again in 2018. However he cautioned that a new government and parliament would not be in place before mid-June, roughly a month before the summit, and there might not be enough time to ratify the application. Imagine the threat to U.S. and Israeli interests if Turkey leaves NATO and becomes another Islamist rogue state like Iran. Pro Turkey and NATO: Resolving the S-400 Spat (2020). Turkey-NATO ties are problematic, but there is one bright spot (2021). Hey, European Union, pull yourself together, he said in a speech yesterday. Thus, other than the termination of the need for these indispensable security benefits or the existence of a better alternative, a divergence in policy preferences among allies even a major divergence may not be a sufficient reason to end an alliance. However the government would be inclined to approve it because they would like to make a fresh beginning with NATO and the west, he added. Significantly, even Turkeys controversial invasion Hence the questions now about whether the alliance is even worth it. In Turkey, government circles primarily cite political reasons in justifying the purchase of S400 air defense missiles from Russia when they could have purchased alternatives from NATO members. We need Turkeys permission to blow our nose there., On the Turkish side, too, the marriage has been one of serial disappointments and misunderstandings. Turkey looks out for its own interests, not NATOs, and risks sucking NATO into a war with Russia. Cevikoz last week told media that if Kilicdaroglu emerges victorious, Swedens bid might be approved before the NATO summit in Vilnius on July 11-12. Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan recently met in Sochi to discuss military operations in northwestern Syria. Read: The Trump administration doesnt care about allies. Turkey Urges Russia to Drop One-Sided NATO Demands (12-27-21). It has been hosting the NATO land command in zmir and strategically important radar systems in Krecik, has been allowing allies to use its highly strategic ncirlik and Konya bases for NATO operations, and has been actively fighting against jihadist terror in the Middle East. I am a beginner debater and I have briefs, There are scores of news reports in the Western media and commentaries released by Western think tanks questioning Turkeys place in the alliance. Over the last two years, NATOs grievances with Turkey have significantly increased. However, the United States has initiated its withdrawal from Neither side has anything to win by undermining this value. McCarthy to Russian reporter: I do not support what your country has done to Montana legislator sues House speaker over censure. Required fields are marked *. Seton Hall University Find out more in my very long-winded 2-hour lecture on YouTube. Back in 1952, with the alliance just a few years old, it expanded for the first time, welcoming two new members: Greece and Turkey. Turkey fought alongside the U.S. during the Korean War (1950-1953). Turkey can be a valuable member who provides geostrategic security due to its proximity to Russia, but that same proximity creates a vulnerability in the alliance if Erdogan acts against the will of NATO members. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoan meets with NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg in Istanbul. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg has been pursuing this campaign for some time, but obviously more needs to be done, particularly in prominent NATO countries. Topics: Europe, Finland, NATO, Sweden, turkey. Con Turkey and Nato are no longer aligned, even if they wont admit it (2022). The government may go to Vilnius with an official pledge which says it would approve Swedens application as soon as possible, Ulgen told Breaking Defense. The title is self-explanatory. To view this content, you need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser. It will not hesitate to pursue the path most closely aligned with its own interests, no matter where it lies: in the West or Russia. Understanding the environment is the baseline for successful naval operations. The title is self-explanatory. For example, if Turkey relinquishes control of the S-400 missiles, NATO countries could offer to work with Ankara on supporting Ukraine, peacefully resolving the conflicts in the South Caucasus, and minimizing Russias role in Libya and Syria. Results of recent local elections and the rerun of the Istanbul mayoral elections have turned attention to domestic politics in Turkey. Turkeys actions in Syria and recent ties with Russia raise concerns over the alliances integrity. One of President Trumps great diplomatic challenges and whose media coverage was unforgivably scanty was posed by his NATO counterpart, Turkish President Reep Tayyip Erdoan. Following the purchase of Russian Anti-Aircraft missile systems, the United States removed Turkey from the multinational F-35 program and withdrew from its sales agreement with Turkey over fears that Russian forces would now have access to the next generation aircraft. Political scientist Samuel Huntington warned in The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order (1996) that Turkey eventually would turn Islamist and leave NATO. He received his Bachelors in International Affairs and Political Science at Florida State University. This article argues if NATO started today that Turkey would not get in and that NATO should reduce its cooperation with Turkey. EXCLUSIVE Turkey pushed NATO allies into softening outrage over Belarus plane, diplomats say (2021). Alliance endurance is determined by alliance dependence, which is based on indispensable security benefits. Finland was a bit of collateral, the issues with Sweden are real.. For Biden and NATO, Turkey is a Headache Thats Here to Stay (2021). Turkey insists that the Northern Cyprus Turkish Republic, unrecognized by the international community, gives them rights to access sources of natural gas within Greeces established exclusive economic zone. Turkeys offensive in northeastern Syria, Operation Peace Spring, began in October of 2019; right on the heels of the withdrawal of U.S. armed forces from the region. Turkey could tip the balance in the Ukraine-Russia standoff (12-10-21). How does Turkey-Azerbaijan military alliance fit into Russias demands for NATO? Resolved: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. Turkey, after all, is not the only discontented NATO member. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Even among NATO allies themselves, Turkey has fanned the flames of conflict, with Erdogan becoming more and more aggressive in the Mediterranean. A Turkey that acts in unison with Russia in the Black Sea and the Mediterranean would be strategically disadvantageous for NATO. How does Turkey-Azerbaijan military alliance fit into Russias demands for NATO? Heads of government and heads of state from NATO countries will meet in the new premises at the NATO summit to take place in July. Webthis month's topic : turkey and nato. President Erdoan may risk the detrimental effects of US sanctions to create a rallying effect and thereby attempt to prevent possible adversaries from gaining momentum. NATO was formed to support European nations who wanted to counter the influence and might of Moscow and provide a unified defense against the now dissolved Soviet Union. On balance, Turkeys contin Instigator / Con blamonkey 1677 rating 22 debates 93.18% won Topic #4317 On balance, Turkeys continued membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Alliances are sustained not with perfect policy harmony, but instead are based on alliance dependence among the parties. After the United States, Turkey has the second-largest standing armed forces in NATO, with more soldiers (639,000 military, paramilitary and civilian personnel), tanks (3,200), armored fighting vehicles (9,500), artillery (2,400) and military aircraft (1,067 fighter jets, attack helicopters and transports) than Germany, France or the United Kingdom. Want the latest defense industry news? Some Washington experts would kick Turkey out of NATO for aggression against the Kurds, and make the latter Americas new Middle East ally. On this shaky ground, Turkey may not be able to maximize its interests through its relations with Russia. Turkey and NATO: Resolving the S-400 Spat (2020). (12-10-21). Beikta came from behind to beat Turkish Sper Lig leader Galatasaray 3-1 on April 30 night, throwing itself back in the trophy race with six weeks to go. Geographically, Turkey occupies some of the most strategically important territory in the world. Turkeys navy comprises 194 ships, mostly frigates, corvettes and coastal gunships but including 12 submarines. This is certainly not one-way relationship. This article identifies the many ways Turkey is undermining NATOs interests and claims the conflicts between NATO and Turkey cannot be resolved. (Al Jeezera), Turkey-U.S. Relations: Timeline and Brief Historical Context, Turkey: U.S. Sanctions Under the Countering Americas Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA), Turkey: Background and U.S. Relations In Brief (December 2021), Turkey: Background and U.S. Relations (November 2020), NATO schedules special meeting with Russia amid Ukraine crisis (Reuters), Turkey could tip the balance in the Ukraine-Russia standoff (Atlantic Council), Turkey Wont Confront Russia in Event of War in Ally Ukraine (Bloomberg), Why Is Turkey in NATO Anyway?
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